ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-12-17 • Updated
Trade idea
SELL 144.90; TP 144.10; SL 145.10
GBP/JPY is correcting down after the excessive advance that it made on the news that Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party has won the UK election. Last week the price managed to overcome the 200-week MA at 143.60 and 78.6% Fibo retracement of March-August decline at 144.00. Now these levels will act as support for the pound.
On the D1, we see bearish divergence between the price and the Awesome Oscillator. It means that the latest advance was too fast and that the pair may return to lower levels where buyers will be able to regroup.
On the H4, GBP/JPY is within a descending wedge. The fall below its support around 144.95 will open the way down to 144.00. In the meantime, the return above the upper border at 146.20 is needed to allow the pair to retest the recent highs that are just below 148.00.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
The most prominent technical factor that jumped at me as soon as I saw the chart though was the wedge I marked above.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.
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