
Dua tahun ini, kita menyaksikan pergerakan harga minyak terbesar dalam tempoh 14 tahun, yang membingungkan pasaran, pelabur dan pedagang akibat ketegangan geopolitik dan peralihan ke tenaga bersih.
2021-05-31 • Dikemaskini
The world’s largest oil exporters, OPEC+ nations, will meet on Tuesday. The meeting is expected to start at 15:30 GMT+3.
OPEC+ has a great impact on the oil supply. As the global economy is recovering from the pandemic, OPEC’s actions become even more important. If the organization has a positive view of the global economy and expects demand for oil to rise, it slowly increases production. This was the case in April when the countries announced a plan add more than 2 million barrels a day to global oil supplies from May to July. Since then, Brent oil has been trading with a bullish bias slowly drifting up toward March highs in the $71 area. This time, everyone expects OPEC+ to stick to the previous agreement. That will be a positive outcome for oil because it would mean that all is fine and exporters think that their barrels will find buyers.
On the downside, if OPEC voices concerns about the world’s economic rebound and emphasizes problems in particular regions (for example, India), we may see oil prices go down.
A new topic
Something has changed in comparison with April: Iran. The nation is in negotiations with the West to remove sanctions. If this happens, its oil will return to the market increasing the overall supply and changing the balance. Iran’s potential return is a negative factor for oil. Although the talks about Iran will likely last for months, any comments on this topic tomorrow may rock the price. Until the question remains decided, it’s going to limit the upside for oil.
It’s time to have a look at the chart. As you may see on the Weekly timeframe, XBR/USD has reached a very strong resistance area of $70-71 – here comes the resistance line that has been limiting the upside since 2014. Obviously, something really big and positive is needed for a major breakout to the upside. It’s hard to imagine that such a thing will materialize tomorrow. As a result, the best strategy may be to look for peaks as the opportunities to open sell trades targeting support at $66 a barrel.
Dua tahun ini, kita menyaksikan pergerakan harga minyak terbesar dalam tempoh 14 tahun, yang membingungkan pasaran, pelabur dan pedagang akibat ketegangan geopolitik dan peralihan ke tenaga bersih.
Selepas beberapa bulan menerima tekanan dari Rumah Putih, Arab Saudi mengalah dan bersetuju untuk meningkatkan pengeluaran bersama dengan ahli-ahli OPEC+ yang lain.
Pada hari Khamis, 2 Jun, Pertubuhan Negara-Negara Pengeksport Petroleum Plus (OPEC+) telah bersetuju untuk meningkatkan pengeluaran sebanyak 648,000 tong sehari (bpd) pada bulan Julai dan Ogos.
Fed mengumumkan pada hari Rabu bahawa ia membiarkan kadar dasar tidak berubah pada 5…
Jepun melangkah lebih dekat kepada campur tangan mata wang dengan amaran terkuatnya apabila yen merosot ke paras paling lemah dalam kira-kira 34 tahun berbanding dolar…
Sentimen pasaran yang memulih pada pembukaan dagangan awal minggu semalam telah menukar semula haluan pergerakan USD…
FBS menyimpan rekod data anda untuk mengoperasikan laman web ini. Dengan menekan butang "Terima", anda menyetujui Polisi Privasi kami.
Permohonan anda telah diterima
Pengurus akan menghubungi anda dalam amsa terdekat
Permohonan panggil balik seterusnya untuk nombor telefon ini
boleh dilakukan dalam dalam
Jika anda mempunyai isu yang perlu disegerakan, sila hubungi kami menerusi
Live Chat
Masalah dalaman. Sila cuba sebentar lagi
Jangan bazir masa anda – pantau bagaimana NFP mempengaruhi dolar AS dan kaut keuntungan!