Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Is gold changing a long-term direction?
2020-09-23 • Updated
Gold is steadily plummeting for the third consecutive day. Where is the bottom? Let’s find out.
XAU/USD has been pressed down by the strong demand for the safe-haven US dollar. The greenback has been boosted by the worsened market sentiment amid rising cases in Europe and the UK. Just recently the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has imposed new restrictions in the country for further 6 months as new infections have surged, and also colder weather is coming back, making people more vulnerable to respiratory viruses and especially Covid-19.
Fed’s Powell delivered a statement yesterday and pointed to a resilient economic activity, but emphasized there is a long way to the full recovery. The USD surged after that report, pushing gold to the downside. Besides, the optimism over the stock markets diminished the gold’s safe-haven status.
Overall, the current situation on the market points to the further gold bearishness, but it may change after the US Manufacturing and Services PMI reports at 16:45 MT time and Powell’s speech at 17:00 MT time. Pay attention to them!
Gold has been trading in a triangle pattern since the beginning of August. After that, it has broken the lower trend line, confirming the bearish breakthrough. Therefore, the yellow is likely to keep falling further. The move below the support of $1 880 will drive the price to the key barrier of $1 860. In the opposite scenario, if it jumps above the psychological mark of $1 900, the way towards $1 940 will be open.
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Amid uncertainty driven by geopolitical events, oil prices surged to record highs. However, a correction in oil prices is observed with a gradual improvement in the situation in the Middle East and an increase in demand. The question facing investors is whether there are prerequisites for further price growth or if everything depends on the dynamics of the political landscape. In this article, we will explore the impact of recent events on the global oil market and the prospects for developing this crucial commodity sector.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.