2020-09-23 • Updated
Gold is steadily plummeting for the third consecutive day. Where is the bottom? Let’s find out.
XAU/USD has been pressed down by the strong demand for the safe-haven US dollar. The greenback has been boosted by the worsened market sentiment amid rising cases in Europe and the UK. Just recently the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has imposed new restrictions in the country for further 6 months as new infections have surged, and also colder weather is coming back, making people more vulnerable to respiratory viruses and especially Covid-19.
Fed’s Powell delivered a statement yesterday and pointed to a resilient economic activity, but emphasized there is a long way to the full recovery. The USD surged after that report, pushing gold to the downside. Besides, the optimism over the stock markets diminished the gold’s safe-haven status.
Overall, the current situation on the market points to the further gold bearishness, but it may change after the US Manufacturing and Services PMI reports at 16:45 MT time and Powell’s speech at 17:00 MT time. Pay attention to them!
Gold has been trading in a triangle pattern since the beginning of August. After that, it has broken the lower trend line, confirming the bearish breakthrough. Therefore, the yellow is likely to keep falling further. The move below the support of $1 880 will drive the price to the key barrier of $1 860. In the opposite scenario, if it jumps above the psychological mark of $1 900, the way towards $1 940 will be open.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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