China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Is it time to sell EUR/USD?
2021-04-05 • Updated
The last week has ended with greater-than-expected NFP, but weaker average hourly earnings. 916,000 people were employed during March, while the forecast was only 647,000. Average hourly earnings dropped by 0.1%, whereas growth of 0.1% was anticipated. As a result, since NFP comes better, but earnings – worse, the USD will spike at first, but it will fall with the second wave.
Europe’s poor vaccination rollout and prolonged lockdowns keep pressing down the EUR. Unlike the EU, the USA is in a much better position. Biden claimed a goal of 200 million vaccinations in his first 100 days and unveiled the 2$ trillion infrastructure plan. As a result, Treasury yields surged. And as we know, rising yields would push the US dollar up.
According to ING, EUR/USD is likely to dip further this week. So far, support at 1.1700 has been held, but the pair may break down to the low of 1.16 this week.
EUR/USD is moving in a descending channel. On the weekly chart, the way down is constrained by the 50-week moving average of 1.1735. If it manages to break it and then crosses 1.1700, it should fall to November’s low at 1.1630. On the flip side, if it crosses the high of April 2 at 1.1790, it may jump to the 200-day moving average of 1.1870.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The EUR/USD pair is making gains, approaching multi-month highs around 1.0960, driven by a weakened USD and Christine Lagarde's somewhat hawkish remarks before the European Parliament. Minor housing data from the U.S., specifically New Home Sales for October, came in below expectations but didn't significantly impact the pair. Lagarde, President of the...
Global equities on Wall Street experienced a mixed session following the Thanksgiving holiday, heading for the most significant one-month rally since November 2020. MSCI's global shares index slightly eased but was still on track for an 8.5% monthly gain, fueled by growing investor confidence that U.S. interest rates...
Brent crude futures is maintaining stability this Friday, with traders awaiting an OPEC+ meeting that might lead to further supply cuts. Brent crude was down 8 cents at $81.34 a barrel, following a 0.7% drop in the previous session.