2020-06-09 • Updated
Yesterday morning the Japan’s GDP for the second quarter was released. It was slightly worse than analysts expected: -0.6% versus -0.5%. On the whole, that data proved that Japan fell into recession as it experienced two straight quarters of contraction. While US and most European countries switched from crisis-response to the next phase of supporting the economic growth, Japan is still stuck in the first one as it continues to focus on preventing a second wave of coronavirus. According to the senior economist at Oxford Economics, Stefan Angrick, the outlook is “extremely challenging”. Japan has its worst postwar drop in the current quarter.
Nevertheless, the Bank of Japan has already took all needed measures to stimulate the economy. Now it’s the matter of time to see the economy recovering. A Cabinet Office survey on Monday showed Japan’s service sector sentiment improved last month, and that is quite promising. Also Japan’s government is going to unveil 1.1 trillion dollars stimulus package. It will definitely underpin the whole economy.
The USD/JPY tested the largest intraday fall yesterday since March 27. It’s headed towards the 50-day moving average at 107.5. If it sticks to the long-term bearish trend and crosses it, it may go even deeper to 107.0. Resistance levels are at 110 and 111.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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