Is gold predictable now, at all? Let's consider some facts and observations.
JPY: the Forex market reconquest
Performance in 2020: +2.4%
Last day range: 109.55 – 110.44
52-week range: 104.46 – 112.40
Now that the Coronavirus is reducing its pace of expansion inside China and increasing its conquest globally, the markets woke up to the probability of having it at a pandemic level. The USD is no longer a bastion of safety as it used to be just until recently, and a pre-panic mode is engulfing the Forex market. For the JPY, it means getting back at the pedestal of safe-haven and enjoying high demand from currency investors. The Japanese yen is performing well against most of its counterparts, and the USD/JPY is the most vibrant example of it.
JPY is changing gears
The USD/JPY finally left the corridor of 109.65-110.25 where it takes rest from time to time since the virus broke out. Currently, it trades at 108.96, which flirts with the support of 108.70 and comes to test the mid-term upward trend of the currency pair. Going below 108.70 would mean the currency pair aims at 108.25 – if it’s there, it means the mid-term tendency of USD’s appreciation against the JPY is broken. But it will take a while before that. This Friday, we are likely to see the support of 108.70 tested; next week, the downside corridor between 108.25 and 108.70 will be in the agenda.
Gold has been losing value lately. But recently, it is back up. Is it a good time to buy?
S&P falling this much, this stock falling that much... Not all the stocks are like this! Some of them keep standing and defying the virus damage.
These days the US dollar has a lock on everyone’s attention. However, there are some interesting cross-currency movements that you can gain from.
USD/JPY has declined from 111.70 and went into consolidation around 107.50.
S&P was looking upwards just a day ago. Something changed?