On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
Levels to trade AUD/JPY
2020-01-15 • Updated
AUD/JPY has been recovering from the 74.00 area since the start of January, but met resistance in the 76.00 area (Dec. 13 high). On the D1, the pair formed a small “spinning top” – a candlestick signaling market’s uncertainty. The direction of a breakout from the current range between 76.10 and 75.85 will determine the further move. A break above 76.10 will open the way up to December highs around 76.50. The decline below 75.58 (100-day MA on the H4) should trigger a fall to 75.25 (50-period MA).
SELL 75.50; TP75.25; SL 75.60
BUY 76.15; TP 76.50; SL 76.00
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?