Morning brief for March 28

Last week, Trump’s collaborators failed to garner enough support to a piece of legislation aimed at repealing the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare act) even with a Republican-controlled Congress. It raised fears among the investors over Trump’s inability to enact pro-growth policies.  The US 10-year bond yield hit its month low on Monday. The US equities experienced a massive selloff. In the Tokyo morning the investors’ anxiety over President Trump’s setback on Obamacare reform gave away; their confidence in Trump’s administration has returned.

The euro spiked to its highest point since November overnight (1.0905) as we got upbeat German Ifo Survey for March. The survey was the strongest since 2011; the headline Business Climate Index printed at 112.3. Overall, German economy grew1.9% last year that is stronger than 1.6% in 2015.  ECB Chief Economist Peter Praet has recently noted that Eurozone deflation risk has almost gone. He also said that at the present moment it is premature to talk about a QE exit as ECB policymakers still didn’t achieved the expected effects from their loosening policies (some of the most indebted countries use QE for more spending rather that for shrinking their debt).  The economic calendar for EUR/USD is light today with US Consumer Confidence and Fed’s speaker.  

Aussie is still hovering around 0.7615. A pullback below 0.7600 towards the immediate support at 0.7555 will tell us about the restoration of the downtrend. On the upside, the nearest resistance can be found at around 0.7700. In the early hours of Tokyo morning, we heard Guy Debelle, the RBA Deputy Governor speaking of the FX code of conduct. There were no comments on the Australian economy, no mention of the RBA monetary measures.

NZD/USD is trading below the key resistance at 38.2% Fibo level (0.7050) traced from last year low. There is a chance of the uptrend restoration. A successful test of 0.7090 will tell us about the uptrend recovery. The economic calendar is empty.

GBP/USD spiked to 1.2617 overnight. In the Asian session, the British pound slid to 1.2555 as we approach the day X – a day of the formal trigger of Article 50 leading to the Britain’s withdrawal from the EU.

USD/CAD gained some additional points in today’s session. The quotes rose to 1.3386. BoC Governor Poloz is speaking tonight at Durham College. We don’t expect him dropping some subtle clues on the bank’s future monetary policies. So, the speech might be a non-event for USD/CAD.

In commodities, the relative weakness of the US dollar has helped oil prices to recover from their earlier losses (to $51.12). But there is a little scope for the uptrend recovery as concerns over the output cut deal are still present.

The belly is not filled with fair words, but we bet you’ve already had your breakfast 

Menyerupai

29.02.2024 03:35 XTIUSD Bertahan Di Sekitar Level 78,00 Menjelang Data Core PCE Price Index

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) menguat dari penurunan kemarin dan saat ini diperdagangkan di sekitar level 78,15 pada hari Kamis (29/02/2024). XTIUSD mencoba pulih dan..Sementara OPEC+ yang mempertimbangkan

14.02.2024 11:53 XTIUSD Pertahankan Momentum Kenaikan Untuk Hari Ke Tujuh

Harga minyak mentah acuan AS West Texas Intermediate (WTI) masih dalam jalur melanjutkan kenaikan untuk hari ke tujuh secara beruntun, pada Rabu (14/02/2024). Menurut laporan pasar minyak bulanan OPEC, ada kekhawatiran mengenai kepatuhan kelompok ini terhadap pemangkasan produksi

30.01.2024 11:00 Ketegangan Geopolitik Meningkat, Minyak di Kisaran Tinggi

Pasar saham Asia melemah pada perdagangan Selasa (30/01/2024), terseret oleh kasus likuidasi perusahaan raksasa properti China..Kegelisahan investor terhadap meningkatnya ketegangan di Timur Tengah telah mengendalikan sentimen risiko.

Berita terbaru

02.04.2024 07:03 Yen Terus Terpuruk Mendekati Level Terendah Multi-Dekade

Yen Jepang gagal memikat para investor pada perdagangan Selasa (02/04/2024) meski ada peluang atas kemungkinan intervensi dan..Sentimen penghindaran risiko masih berpotensi memberikan kekuatan pada safe-haven

01.04.2024 08:22 Sanggupkan Emas Berlama-lama di Puncak?

XAUUSD naik ke rekor tertinggi baru pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), di tengah meningkatnya spekulasi penurunan suku bunga..melanjutkan kenaikan kuat minggu lalu hingga membentuk level puncak baru sepanjang masa

01.04.2024 07:11 Sebagian Pasar Masih Libur, Yen Stabil di Bawah 152

Pasar saham Asia sebagian masih libur dan sebagian lagi menguat pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), karena optimisme data pabrikan Tiongkok mendukung..potensi intervensi otoritas Jepang terhadap yen Jepang diperkirakan berada di zona 152 – 155 yen.