The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
Negative forecast for USD/CHF
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 0.9540 TP2 0.9445 TP3 0.9380
On the daily chart, bears managed to stop USD/CHF at 0.9735 (38.2% of the medium-term rising wave) and return the pair inside the long-term downtrend. They will keep controlling the market if the pair slide below the support at 0.9630 and push it to 88.6% of the “Double top”.
On H1, if USD/CHF renews September low, it will trigger AB=CD pattern for the second time. Its target at 261.8% lies at 0.9445.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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