The month of February saw markets make several instinctive moves as well as create opportunities for proper leveraging of fundamental releases. Despite being a leap-year, there wasn’t any real impact on price delivery in the course of the month. As we await the opportunities that lie ahead in the month of March, here are a few thoughts to consider.
NZD/JPY will soon be out of the rage
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 76.00; TP 75.60; SL 76.15
BUY 76.80; TP 77.30; SL 76.65
NZD/JPY has started recovering at the beginning of January. The pair consolidated in the middle of the bullish channel during the last 5 days. For now, it’s trading above the weekly pivot point at 76.06. The 50-day MA went above the 200-day MA forming a so-called “golden cross”. At the same time, if we check the monthly chart, we’ll see that the pair ran into the 100-month MA at 76.35, so the way up is not so easy either.
A spike in volatility may be expected this week on Thursday when New Zealand releases GDP figures. The forecasts are not that good. The decline below 76.00 will move NZD/JPY down to 75.60 (100-day MA, channel support). Buyers may reappear in this zone. At the same time, a break of the upper border of the consolidation range around 76.75 will open the way up to 77.30 (100-week MA).
In the early hours of Tuesday, the US Dollar faces challenges in maintaining its strength against major currencies, with the US Dollar Index struggling to surpass the 104.00 mark. Investors are eagerly anticipating the release of key economic data, including January Durable Goods Orders and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for February. Additionally, the economic calendar includes...
Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected...
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
During his program on CNBC on February 28, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with the impact of earnings reports on market behavior, noting how they often prompt rash decisions by average investors. He criticized the short-term focus and lack of attention to nuance in news coverage of earnings. Cramer cited examples of Home Depot and Lowe's, highlighting how investors reacted hastily to headline news without considering the broader context provided in earnings calls.
After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...