The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
NZD/USD is pulling down
2022-12-16 • Updated
NZD/USD may be on the verge of breaking to lower levels. The pair formed a doji candlestick with a long upper shadow on the D1 - this is a bearish sign. The declining 50-day MA is capping the prices at 0.6110. On the H4, we see that the price has made a lower high. The oscillators are declining, so the pressure on the support line connecting April lows will likely intensify. The fall below the last week’s minimum of 0.5920 will open the way down to 0.5875 and 0.5800 (38.2% and 50% Fibonacci of the March-April advance). Recoveries will meet resistance in the 0.6040/70 area.
Trade idea for NZD/USD
SELL 0.5915; TP1 0.5875; TP2 0.5800; SL 0.5930
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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