October 17 - 21 Weekly Outlook

October 17 - 21 Weekly Outlook

2022-11-08 • Updated

Oil market

XBRUSD and XTIUSD might experience massive volatility due to the Chinese GDP release on Tuesday, October 18. China is the second-largest economy in the world. Currently, the Chinese economy is facing a recession, affecting the oil market. Earlier today, China reported a 60% year-to-year air traffic decline, another sign of a weakening economy. Therefore, we suggest selling oil if the actual GDP numbers underperform the forecast. If it happens, XBRUSD might decline to 77.00 per barrel.


Japanese Yen

Japan's Central Bank Governor is still super positive about a further soft monetary policy and economic stimulation. However, he also mentioned the Central Bank is ready to intervene in JPY. According to the technical analysis, levels 149.40, 151.32, 153.40, and 154.95 are the major resistance levels for USDJPY, where the Japanese central bank will most likely intervene. 



XAUUSD had an awful previous week. The price lost more than 3% and closed a totally bearish weekly candle. We expect the price to decline to the 1615 - 1622 support range this week. If the price breaks through this support, XAUUSD might keep falling toward 1563.00. However, if buyers defend the support range, we might see a massive local reversal for the yellow metal toward 1700.



The pair is trading under the global resistance range of 1.0060 - 1.0095. If the price breaks above, buy USDCHF with the target at 1.0220. However, if the price loses 0.9930 support, it will decline to 0.9840.



The US stock market is struggling due to the US dollar's strength. However, the earnings season might change the situation. As experts' expectations are low, companies might easily overperform them and push US500, US30, and US100 higher. We suggest you trade US100 this week. If the price breaks above 11180, you might buy it with the target at 11600 and 12000. However, if companies' reports disappoint investors and the US100 breaks below the recent low, it might keep declining toward 9700. 




Will GBP Recover Now?
Will GBP Recover Now?

The Bank of England (BoE) has dramatically shifted its economic forecasts. They no longer expect a recession in the UK and have upgraded their growth projections. This year, the BoE predicts GDP growth of +0.25%, a significant improvement from previous expectations. Next year's forecast is even more optimistic, with a projected growth of 0.75%.

How Will CPI Change the Market?
How Will CPI Change the Market?

On Wednesday, the US dollar weakened in anticipation of the US CPI data, which could influence market exposure. A Bloomberg survey predicts a year-on-year read of 5.0% to the end of April. Market sentiment is affected by the US debt ceiling and issues with regional banks. While the major APAC equity indices are...

Crucial Days for Gold
Crucial Days for Gold

Gold prices have stabilized at around $2,020 ahead of Tuesday's trading session, following last Friday's dip. Recent fluctuations in risk sentiment have been the driving force behind the pricing of the precious metal. How does this look on the charts? Let’s find out.

Latest news

Gold and the Majors ahead of the NFP
Gold and the Majors ahead of the NFP

Let's dive into the latest developments shaping the global economic landscape. Good news first: the threat of an unprecedented US debt crisis has receded, as US lawmakers passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default. Phew! But don't pop the champagne just yet, because storm clouds are still looming. High inflation, rising interest rates, and sluggish growth are challenges that have yet to disappear.

The Oil Market in the Month of June
The Oil Market in the Month of June

Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.

Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!
Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!

Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.

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