2019-11-11 • Updated
As you may probably know, the level of non-farm employment change or non-farm payrolls (NFP) will be released today at 15:30 MT time. It is the leading indicator of consumer spending, that is why it can influence the USD significantly.
The NFP in August reached 201,000 payrolls.
Let’s check what major banks predict about the September digits:
Goldman Sachs – 175,000.
“Strong September employment report, decline in the unemployment rate, firm average hourly earnings, despite the hurricane Florence”
Morgan Stanley – 178,000.
“Growth of the employment level, the lowest levels of initial jobless claims, limited hurricane Florence impact”
Amherst Pierpont – 190,000.
“A slight decline due to the hurricane Florence influence”
Wells Fargo – 210,000.
“Repeat of the August levels, record low levels of initial jobless claims, decline in unemployment rate to 3.8%”
If actual figures are greater than the forecasts, the USD will increase.
Up to now EUR/USD is falling towards the support at 1.1413. If NFP beats the forecasts, the pair will fall below this level. Otherwise, it will go above the resistance at 1.1507.
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Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
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Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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