2019-11-11 • Updated
Recommendation: BUY 51.5 SL 50.5 TP1 52.8 TP2 53.9.
On the daily chart of Brent futures, "bulls" failed to overcome resistance at $54.42 per barrel. As a result, we got a rollback and formation of the short-term downward trading channel. There is a room for a decline towards $48 (the intersection of two trading channels + 61.8% of the last long-term "bullish" wave). At the same time, the odds for rebound from the $50-51.5 convergence area are quite high.
On the hourly chart of Brent oil futures, the quotes reached the support area of $50.66-51.08. At the beginning of the second decade of May, here was an accumulation of speculative longs and formation of 113% target of the "Shark" pattern. This allows bulls to recoup their losses.
Saudi Arabia and Russia, two of the world's largest oil producers, have decided to extend cuts to their oil production to support oil prices and boost income. This move comes despite weakened demand due to the sluggish economy.
Oil prices fell to a three-month low following the release of US inflation data which was in line with expectations. The annual inflation rate of 6%...
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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