Oil Market Outlook

Oil Market Outlook

2023-05-09 • Updated

Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel. However, the Brent contract is more than 6% lower for the week, and the Nymex contract has fallen by over 8%. The market remains negative, suggesting there could be more downside in the near term, though support near $70 per barrel is expected. Despite the downturn, the crude market is still expected to be in deficit over the second half of 2023, which should drive prices up. Let's now go over to the charts to decipher whatever the price action has in store.


USDCAD - Daily Timeframe


USDCAD on the daily timeframe has just recently broken below the resistance trendline of a wedge pattern. The most recent low has been marked with a horizontal arrow, and I expect the price to create a new low that would be lower than that area. What this means is that the Canadian may get stronger, leading to higher Oil prices.

Analysts’ Expectations:

Direction: Bearish

Target: 1.32795

Invalidation: 1.34540



XTIUSD - Daily Timeframe


US Crude, as seen in the chart above, is trading within a descending channel, with a recent rejection of the trendline support of the same channel. Price will apparently head for the 200-period moving average, but I'll also cautiously watch for reactions from the 100 MA.

Analysts’ Expectations:

Direction: Bullish

Target: $77.04

Invalidation: $69.58



XBRUSD - Daily Timeframe


Brent (XBRUSD) has recently bounced off the drop-base-rally demand zone within the descending channel it has been riding in for almost a year. The price action suggests that the price is in search of a strong resistance that may be capable of pushing prices lower; in the meantime, however, I think we're bullish until that resistance level is found - possibly at the 100-day moving average.

Analysts’ Expectations:

Direction: Bearish

Target: $80.86

Invalidation: $74.71




The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.


You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.



Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices
Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices

Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...

WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot
WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot

Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.


A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera