2019-11-11 • Updated
Oil prices dropped to $51.10 after Baker Hughes total US rig count posted an increase in total rigs and Saudi Arabia Energy minister Al-Falih said the country will no longer tolerate the loss of its market share.
US drillers added 14 oil rigs according to the data we received on March 17, bringing the total count up to 631. Growing US shale production fed concerns that an output cut deal propelled by the OPEC-members and supported by large oil suppliers is having less impact than it was expected.
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Another headwind for oil prices was the news that Libya’s National Oil Corporation is going to regain its control over key oil ports (from Reuters report). This should boost the country’s oil export. Libya is not a contracting party of the production cut deal forged in November. So, market analysts believe that higher output in Libya will be an additional drag on the oil futures.
Some analysts, however, expect the oil prices to rise higher as they believe that cuts in OPEC production will start to show up only between the mi-March and mid-April. A sharp reduction of oil imports is expected, it will inevitably lead to impressive crude inventory draws. The mix of falling imports and shrinking stockpiles of oil should send the oil price to the upside.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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