OIL price: still rising

OIL price: still rising

2020-01-08 • Updated

Chronology

These days may seem a little out of order to the oil price in light of the happenings between the US and Iran. This gives more reason to have a fresh look at the chart. But first, let us recollect the logic of the events. 

On Friday, the news about the killed Iranian commander Soleimani reached the media. Markets were slow to react, then shocked, oil panicked.

On Sunday, the US President Donald Trump warned Iran against any retaliation; oil was still panicking.

On Monday, he said Iran never would have a nuclear weapon in reply to the surging note that the abandoned nuclear deal is the true background of the conflict; oil price was still falling down.

On Tuesday, Iran voiced out the coming retaliation; oil price kept falling.

Today, we hear that Iranian missiles hit the US airbases in Iraq; oil price panics again; President Trump reassures “all well” and says he would get back to us. Later during the day, we discover that none of the Americans or the Coalition forces were actually hit but the missiles. Moreover, we get reports that the retaliation strike was brilliantly managed by Iran to make sure it is big enough to satisfy the domestic vindictive mood among the Iranians but harmless enough to provoke the US to get back with a serious response.

No surprise, this flow of news forces the oil price to deviate from its’ “normal” trajectory. But does it actually?

Short-term: panic

A short-term picture gives a shaky impression indeed. After the door of $70 per barrel on Monday, Brent secures this position today at $71, which is unseen since May 2019. But then, it falls down as if nothing happened and breaks through all short-term support levels along with the 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period MAs. Only the Awesome Oscillator consoles with a seemingly reached bottom.

Brent_OilM30.png

Long-term: steady rising

In the meantime, the long-term picture puts things in order. Yes, we see some “red volatility” at the end of the chart, but the trajectory did not deviate much from the general upward trend visible since October. Hence, even before the statement of the US President, we can have some certainty that the observed uptrend needs more to be challenged. Very likely, Brent oil price will secure its positions closer to the current level of $70 and then look for more strategic factors to follow.

Brent_OilDaily.png

Conclusion

The noise is the natural component of the market’s daily life. If you can trade the rumors, you have plenty of opportunities to do that, as these days have shown. Otherwise, make verified trade decisions, learn the techniques and follow the news.

                                                                                             LOG IN

Similar

TESLA Earnings Report Outcome Forecast
TESLA Earnings Report Outcome Forecast

In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, the Tesla Inc. team will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.

Will NETFLIX surprise investors?
Will NETFLIX surprise investors?

The Netflix stock (NFLX), with a market cap of $145.17B and a whooping 10 000+% rise since its inception 16 years ago, experienced some turbulence for a short period last year while trading around the $250 share price. However, the NFLX stock quickly recovered and rose to over $300 towards the end of the previous quarter of 2022.

Worst Awaits Risk Assets in September
Worst Awaits Risk Assets in September

The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.

Latest news

Will USDJPY slide lower in 2023?
Will USDJPY slide lower in 2023?

Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?

BoC Rates Could Alter The Trend on USDCAD and others
BoC Rates Could Alter The Trend on USDCAD and others

Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.

MSFT faces gloomy forecasts ahead of earnings report
MSFT faces gloomy forecasts ahead of earnings report

In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Feel the Team Spirit

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera