OPEC+ decision is in focus

OPEC+ decision is in focus

2020-12-01 • Updated

What happened?

Investors are waiting for the significant decision of OPEC+ members to prolong oil output cuts or stop them. Yesterday, they failed to come to a common conclusion. That pushed oil prices down below $45.00. However, the market euphoria over having a vaccine soon drove riskier assets upward as well as oil.

What’s next?

OPEC+ will meet the next time on Thursday to discuss the oil supply’s regulations. According to RBC Capital Markets, OPEC+ should agree on further cuts for about 3 months. On the one hand, the virus is still a severe problem, which has strong pressure on oil demand. On the other hand, the recent Chinese Manufacturing PMI report was better than expected and signaled the industry expansion. China is a huge oil importer, that’s why a recovery of the economic activity there will increase the oil demand, which should underpin oil prices in the end. 

Technical tips

WTI oil is trading sideways from $44.65 to $45.65. If it manages to break the top of this range, the way up to the high of November 26 at $46.00 will be clear. On the flip side, the move below the support of $45.00 will drive crude oil to yesterday’s low of $44.65. However, it’s likely to pull back from $45.00 and turn to the upside to continue its zig-zag movement.

To trade WTI oil with FBS you need WTI-21F, which expires on December 18.

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The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.

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