2022-12-15 • Updated
“I want you to know how sad I am to be giving up the best job in the world,” – Boris Johnson said in front of the paparazzi and his colleagues before leaving the UK Prime Minister chair. He held the post for three years after Theresa May left in 2019 due to Brexit contradictions. Changes of such scale aren’t often seen in Europe, so it’s wise to break the situation down.
It all started with a no-confidence vote at the beginning of June. The UK Conservative party (Tory) criticized Johnson’s job for “perceived incompetency as a leader,” beginning the most significant turmoil in the newest history of Britain. Also, Johnson had a party during Covid-19 pandemic, which was totally unacceptable for a Prime Minister.
If Tory had been successful, Boris would have left much earlier. Here’s how the process works:
Source: BBC
However, Mr. Johnson received the support of 211 out of 359 members of the House of Commons (lower chamber of the UK parliament). The result means 59% of his members (MPs) supported Mr. Johnson.
The story doesn’t end here, though. Another round of problems for Boris started as he hired Chris Pincher as a deputy coordinator of the parliamentary faction. Earlier, Pinches was accused of sexual harassment, and Johnson knew it.
After the Chris designation, a 24-hour period of political turbulence began. Over 40 government resignations happened before Johnson decided to give up and leave the chair of Premier Minister. The general public supported the decision: Twitter is filled with cheers and glees ahead of the next PM election in autumn.
Boris Johnson was the UK Prime Minister and head of the conservative party for three years. The Tories, in turn, are the leading party in the UK, with the Liberal Democrats as the main rival. Usually, elections in the UK need to happen no more than five years apart. Unless an earlier one is called, the next election isn’t due until January 2025.
Boris Johnson could call an early election if he wanted (the law permits this), but now Mr. Johnson has resigned. After the conservative party chooses a new leader, he (or she) can call an early election if he (or she) wishes.
Pound Sterling is rallying at the time of writing, although it is hard to ascertain just how much of the move is linked to the domestic political news or the broadly supportive global market.
The pair made a double divergence on the RSI. Also, we are close to the support trendline. Our outlook on the British pound is bullish. The currency may rise to the 1.2324 resistance. Also, it may soar higher if the next PM chair candidate is met with glee from the market participants.
GBPUSD daily chart
Resistance: 1.2324, 1.2700, 1.3000
Support: 1.1900, 1.1740
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The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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