2021-08-18 • Updated
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised the markets again by refraining from raising interest rates a day after the country announced a nationwide lockdown due to multiple covid19 cases in the country. The lockdown should last for three days only, while some cities might last for seven days, which might be an understandable decision by RBNZ.
The kiwi declined sharply after the announcement all the way to 0.6870’s but managed to recover, trading around 0.6950 by the time of writing this note. Such rally comes after the RBNZ kept the door open for tightening soon.
The statement says: ”The Committee agreed that their least regrets policy stance is to further reduce monetary policy stimulus to reduce the risk that inflation expectations become unanchored. However, in light of the current Level 4 lockdown and health uncertainty the Committee agreed to leave the OCR unchanged at this meeting”
In the meantime, with tightening and tapering are still on the table despite the lockdown, NZDUSD remains a good candidate for another long position despite the recent decline and covid19 outbreak.
NZDUSD is trading within a buying zone stands between above the 61.8% Fibo which stands at 0.6876, while stops should not exceed today’s low, with a possibility to regain above 0.70 in the coming days.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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