2020-12-17 • Updated
CAD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold is trading strongly higher and achieves a full retracement.
The Dollar Index fell to its lowest since May 2018, dropping below 90 as progress on a fiscal stimulus package and the promise of loose Federal Reserve policy for years to come encouraged moves into risk assets and alternative assets. U.S. stock markets are set to open higher as negotiators in Washington and Europe grind toward agreement on a U.S. fiscal stimulus package and an EU-U.K. post-Brexit free trade agreement. After a disappointing 1.1% drop in retail sales in November, the market will be looking to the release of data on jobless claims, housing starts and building permits for any further signs of economic weakness. Crude oil prices also hit their highest level since March, with the weak dollar and U.S. government stockpile data helping them to shrug off fears about the near-term demand trajectory.
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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