Risk Assets or USD?
What will happen? This week several important macroeconomic reports will be presented…
The Fed & Delta Variant
2021-07-29 • Updated
4H Chart
Daily Chart
The Federal Reserve decided to keep the current policy unchanged as widely expected, with no additional information about the timing of the tapering. In fact, in this meeting, the Fed mentioned tapering twice only. Still, this should not be a surprise. At the same time, I can say that the entire Fed meeting yesterday can be summarized in one single sentence: “With Delta, the Fed just going to have to watch”. In return, the US Dollar Index continued with its downside retracement in line with our estimates, nearing 92.0 support area, while a break through that support would clear the way for further declines, possibly towards 91.60. It's worth mentioning that the current decline is considered as another short-term retracement before the upside trend resumes. The more they talk about tapering the better it will be for the dollar.
|
S3 |
S2 |
S1 |
Pivot |
R1 |
R2 |
R3 |
|
91.41 |
91.92 |
92.12 |
92.44 |
92.64 |
92.95 |
93.46 |
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