2020-08-27 • Updated
EUR/JPY: The EUR/JPY pair is now poised to enter the cloud. A failed attempt to move higher will push the market lower, confirming the bearish outlook.
France announced yesterday that it will launch a EUR100bn stimulus package, probably next week, while Germany extended the short-term labour package until the end of 2021.
Countries like France, Spain and Italy have rejected new lockdowns despite a rise in the number of COVID-19 infections.
Today's most important event is Fed chair Powell's speech on the monetary policy framework review at the annual Jackson Hole conference at 15:10 CEST. Many have high expectations that the Fed is adopting some sort of average inflation targeting allowing inflation to overshoot the 2% inflation target before tightening monetary policy.
The positive sentiment in the US equity market continues, however there was a mixed picture in Asian equity markets this morning.
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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