2019-12-13 • Updated
Risk sentiment is boosted by the news that Boris Johnson’s Conservative party has won the UK election. In addition, market players are hoping for the announcement of a phase 1 trade deal between the United States and China after Donald Trump hinted on such a possibility in his tweet on Thursday.
CNY/JPY is a good proxy for traders’ optimism. The technical setup for it is also quite interesting. The uptrend is in place since the end of August. Recently the pair formed a bullish flag, while Thursday’s close above the 200-day MA (15.65) solidified the position of buyers.
On Friday, the pair opened with a gap up above the 50-week MA (15.76) and then corrected down. The return above this level will open the way up to 15.915 (61.8% Fibonacci of the April-August decline). A fundamental shift in sentiment may boost the rate to even higher, to 16.20 (the resistance line of the longer-term downtrend). If, however, it happens that the cheerfulness was premature, the fall below 15.65 will bring the pair down to 15.55.
BUY 15.80; TP 15.90; SL 15.77
SELL 15.63; TP 15.55; SL 15.66
CNH/JPY, Daily
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is under pressure due to concerns about the country's economic growth, exacerbated by bearish technical indicators and the US Dollar's strength. Recent data showing negative growth in New Zealand, with GDP contracting by 0.1% in Q4 2024, suggests a recession. Despite this, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has not ...
Bearish scenario: Selling below 150.30 with TP1: 150.00... Bullish scenario after retracement: Intraday buys above 149.40 with TP: 150.00, TP2: 151.00...
Ahead of the release of US February Retail Sales data, the US Dollar (USD) is showing a modest recovery. Analysts at BBH assess the potential impact of the upcoming data on the USD. A soft reading in spending could prompt another downward correction in the USD, as it might indicate a weakening consumer sentiment. Market expectations...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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