On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
Trade idea for GBP/CAD
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 1.7400; TP1 1.7350; TP2 1.7230; SL 1.7420
Last week GBP/CAD tried to rise to the 200-week MA in the 1.7750 area but then turned down and closed around 1.7460, below the highs of December and January. The weekly pivot point is at 1.7535, and as long as the pound is trading below this level, it will remain under pressure.
This week trading started with a bearish gap. The situation is not surprising: a lot of important events await the British pound, so volatility will be elevated. GBP/CAD met the resistance line and turned down. The pair will be under pressure to get to the lower levels, closer to the daily MAs. The levels to watch on the downside include 1.7345 and 1.7230.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.