Trade Idea: Major Pairs - 28-12-2022

Trade Idea: Major Pairs - 28-12-2022

2022-12-28 • Updated


Hello, my beautiful readers. This week, we continue our critically detailed look at the markets in hopes of getting profitable trading opportunities. As usual, I'll be starting with the DXY (US Dollar Index) since it holds considerable sway over the Major currency pairs.

As we can see from the attached image above, DXY seems to be gathering momentum to enable it to break out of the wedge pattern and recover its bullish momentum. This means that the US Dollar is expected to get stronger if this analysis is adhered to.



GBPUSD is also currently merry-ing within the wedge, but with a recent break of the previous high at the marked horizontal arrow. Coupling this with our expectation of a stronger Dollar means we should be seeing some bearish price action on GBPUSD in a short while.



EURUSD on the other hand presents an interesting challenge. The market structure appears to be completely nonsensical, but the direction is still discernible to trained eyes. The marked horizontal arrow is the previous break of lows that occurred after the initial price rejection from the Daily supply zone as indicated by the horizontal purple line. As a result, I am expecting price to react from the highlighted area in continuation of the bearish structure and rejection from the supply zone.



Here we see a previous break out of the wedge, as well as a break of market structure. This means we can expect a textbook break-and-retest to play out here. The highlighted zone serves as my expected Point-of-Interest for a SELL entry.



Considering the 'death cross' on the chart above, having a bearish bias seems like a good idea. However, NZDUSD has provided us with further confirmations; we see the bearish break of structure at the marked horizontal arrow, and the Fibonacci retracement level around the vicinity of the 100-SMA on the 4-Hour timeframe. I will be waiting patiently for price to raid my zone before taking a Sell trigger.


It is important to understand that with the current festivities around the world, market volumes are naturally going to be on the low, so you should be careful to consider this in your trading. Also, the trading of CFDs comes at risk; if not properly managed, you may lose all of your trading capital. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

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How Did EUR React to the ECB Meeting? 
How Did EUR React to the ECB Meeting? 

The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.

Can the CPI Release Reverse The USD? 
Can the CPI Release Reverse The USD? 

The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.

Will the NFP help the greenback?
Will the NFP help the greenback?

The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.

Latest news

Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns
Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns

Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.

Can the Chinese Economy Recover?
Can the Chinese Economy Recover?

Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.

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