2019-11-11 • Updated
The US dollar index managed to rebound from the psychological level at $93.50. Up to now, it is trading near $93.65. On Tuesday, traders will look at the inflation data at 15:30 MT time. The forecast is not encouraging as its similar to previous data. However, if the actual data are greater than the forecast ones, the US dollar index will go up. The resistance is at $94. Conversely, the index will go down again.
On Monday, the pound fell because of weak economic data. Manufacturing production and goods trade balance data were weaker than the forecast. As a result, GBP/USD broke the support at 1.34 (the pivot point). On the H4 chart, 100-hour and 50-hour MAs are supports for the pair. If on Monday, the pair closes below MAs, the further fall may be anticipated. On Tuesday, a direction of the pair will depend on the average earnings index, claimant count change, and unemployment rate data. The forecast is mixed, however, if the actual data are greater than the forecast, the pair will be able to go up. The resistance will lie at 1.35. Otherwise, the pair will move to the support at 1.33.
Although trade wars are anticipated to escalate because of comments of US President Mr. Trump after the G7 summit, the Japanese yen don’t react. Monday’s USD/JPY trading is bullish, however, there is a strong resistance at 110.20 (200-day MA). On Tuesday, the important US economic data will be released. If they are encouraging , USD/JPY will go up and will break the resistance. Otherwise, the fall below 109.70 is anticipated.
On Monday, the USD/CAD pair managed to change its direction as the US dollar index strengthened and oil fell further. The pair is moving to the resistance at 1.3040. On Tuesday, no important economic data for the Canadian dollar will be out. As a result, there are odds that the pair will break the resistance at 1.3040. If the US dollar does not strengthen, the Canadian dollar will have chances to appreciate. The support will lie at 1.2950.
During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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