On the daily chart of USD/CAD, the implementation of the "Bat" and AB=CD patterns continues.
Trading forecast for June 22
- Thursday mixed economic data didn’t let the US dollar index to break the psychological level at $95. Philly Fed manufacturing index was weaker than anticipated, however, unemployment claims data appeared to be more positive than the forecast. Mixed data were not an encouraging factor for the USD, as a result, it’s falling trading near $94.60. The support lies at $94.
As the USD is weak on Thursday, other currencies managed to recover. EUR/USD pair rebounded from the support at 1.1550. As a result, the pair is moving to the resistance at 1.1670. On Friday, a lot of economic data will be released.
- If the actual data are greater than the forecast ones, the pair will be able to reach the resistance. Otherwise, it will come back to the support at 1.1550
- The pound got a boost from the Bank of England. Of course, the interest rate wasn’t changed, however, the number of members who voted to keep the interest rate unchanged declined. As a result, 3 members were for the rate hike, 6 voted to hold the interest rate. It means that the central bank is closer to a rate hike. As a result of the optimistic central bank’s meeting, the pound broke the resistance at 1.3180 and is moving up. On H4, you can see that 50-hour MA at 1.3280 is the next level to break. If the pair is able to do that, the next resistance is at 1.3310. On Friday, no important Britain economic data will be released. As a result, there are risks of the pullback to 1.3180.
- Friday will be an important day for the Canadian dollar. Firstly, a lot of economic data will be released. CPI and retail sales forecasts are encouraging. As a result, if the actual data are greater than the forecast ones, the Canadian dollar will appreciate.
Moreover, OPEC and its allies will meet to make an agreement on the future supply. If they agree to increase the production, oil will go down and as a result, the Canadian dollar will depreciate. Up to now, the USD/CAD pair is coming back to the support at 1.3290. Friday movement will depend on the economic data and OPEC meeting. If news for the CAD is encouraging, the pair will break the support and will move down. Otherwise, it will stay within 1.3290-1.3380.
On the daily chart of XAU/USD, the rebound from the support at 1,239 helped to open long positions.
On the daily chart of AUD/USD, the implementation of the purple "Shark" pattern with the 88.6% target continues.
The last "Pennant" pattern has been broken, so bulls found resistance at 1.2915. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to move on, so we should...
USD/CHF remains weak across the board and stays strong with a bearish consolidation below the 200 SMA at H1 chart…
There's no any reversal pattern so far, so the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance area in the short term...