The month of February saw markets make several instinctive moves as well as create opportunities for proper leveraging of fundamental releases. Despite being a leap-year, there wasn’t any real impact on price delivery in the course of the month. As we await the opportunities that lie ahead in the month of March, here are a few thoughts to consider.
Trading forecast for June 26
2019-11-11 • Updated
- The US dollar index is trading near the psychological level at $94. If the index closes below this level on Monday, the further fall may be anticipated. On Tuesday, traders will look at CB consumer confidence data (17:00 MT time) and a speech from the Federal Open Market Committee’s member (20:00 MT time). The forecast for the economic data isn’t encouraging, however, if the actual data is greater than the forecast, the index will be able to recover. Moreover, if the Committee’s member gives some positive clues on the future monetary policy, the USD will be stronger. However, a great rise to previous highs near $95 isn’t anticipated.
- The euro is trying to return its positions. EUR/USD strongly plunged on June 14, after the European Central Bank announced a more cautious approach to the rate hikes. Up to now, the pair is moving to the resistance at 1.1720. No important economic data will be released on Tuesday. As a result, if the USD is weaker, the euro will be able to break the resistance and appear near previous highs. Otherwise, it will return to the pivot point at 1.1615.
- The pound is trying to go up. The GBP/USD pair is trading above the pivot point at 1.3225, however, a trendline may become a resistance for the pair again. On Tuesday, traders should have a look at speeches from Monetary Policy Committee’s members (12:00 and 12:30 MT time). They may give clues on the future monetary policy of the Central Bank. If clues are encouraging and the USD is weaker, the pound will be able to break the resistance at 1.33 (the trendline). Otherwise, the pair will return to the support at 1.3225.
- Trade tensions support the Japanese yen. USD/JPY tested the support at 109.70. But 50-day MA is weighing on the pair and may become an additional support for it. As a result, if it’s able to close below these levels on Monday, the further fall is anticipated. Otherwise, traders should be careful and follow the USD’s movement. In case, the USD is stronger, the pair will return to the resistance at 110.20.
USD/CHF saw a rebound after declining for two days straight, climbing towards the important psychological level of 0.8800 during Wednesday's early Asian trading session. There's some pressure on the Swiss Franc (CHF) as traders await the Swiss ZEW Survey – Expectations report scheduled for later today. Moreover, investors are keeping...
In the early hours of Tuesday, the US Dollar faces challenges in maintaining its strength against major currencies, with the US Dollar Index struggling to surpass the 104.00 mark. Investors are eagerly anticipating the release of key economic data, including January Durable Goods Orders and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for February. Additionally, the economic calendar includes reports...
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
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After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...