On the daily chart of XAU/USD, the pair left the downward channel and reached targets of the “Spike and ledge” pattern.
Trading plan for July 4
- On Tuesday, the US dollar index couldn’t break the psychological level at $95 again and turned to the support at $94.50. On Wednesday, no important economic data will be released. As a result, there are risks of the further fall. If the index breaks the support at $94.50, the next one will lie at $94.20. If there is some positive news for the USD, the index will be able to return to the psychological level at $95.
- On Tuesday, the pound strengthened because of the positive economic data. The construction PMI figure was greater than the forecast (53.1 vs 52.6). As a result, GBP/USD tested the resistance at 1.3180 (the pivot point and the trendline). To break the resistance, the GBP needs an additional support. On Wednesday, traders will look at services PMI data (11:30 MT time). The forecast is weaker than the previous data. However, if the actual one is greater than the forecast, the pound will strengthen. If the GBP/USD pair manages to break the resistance at 1.3180, the next one will lie at 1.3315. Otherwise, the pair will return to the support at 1.3070.
- Wednesday is an important day for the Australian dollar. Retail sales and trade balance data will be released at 4:30 MT time. The forecast is mixed. If the actual data are greater than the forecast, the Australian dollar will strengthen. O Tuesday, AUD/USD managed to rebound from the support at 0.7320 and reach the resistance at 0.74 (the trendline). Only positive economic data will be able to pull the pair above the trendline. If the pair manages to break the trendline, the next resistance is at 0.7445. Otherwise, the pair will reverse to the support at 0.7320 again.
On the daily chart of USD/CAD, the pair is reaching targets of the “Wolfe waves” pattern.
Expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with falling Tenkan-sen.
The last "Pennant" pattern has been broken, so bulls found resistance at 1.2915. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to move on, so we should...
USD/CHF remains weak across the board and stays strong with a bearish consolidation below the 200 SMA at H1 chart…
There's no any reversal pattern so far, so the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance area in the short term...