The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
US Dollar at Crucial Zone: What Next?
2023-06-08 • Updated
Let's dive into the recent debt ceiling saga in the US and its implications for the economy, deficit, and inflation. The good news is that a new debt deal is on the horizon, saving us from a potential default on June 5. Phew! This deal will impact the economy by providing stability and avoiding a financial catastrophe. It should also help keep the deficit in check, preventing further debt accumulation. As for inflation, the deal aims to address the budget outlook, which could impact inflation rates. However, we'll need to monitor future developments to see how things play out and ensure the US finds solid financial footing. Stay tuned for updates and keep your trading strategies adaptable. Happy trading!
US DOLLAR - Daily Timeframe
The rejection from the trendline resistance has been clearly established, but we’re yet to see the price trade clear of the pivot zone. Looking at the scenario, my sentiment is bearish based on the following factors;
- Trendline resistance
- Pivot zone acting as supply
- The moving average array is bearish
EURUSD - Daily Timeframe
EURUSD has been rejected from the demand zone and the trendline support. Based on the additional confluence from the bullish moving average array, I will uphold my bullish sentiment on EURUSD until the US Dollar reverses its structure. As long as the US Dollar indicates a bearish price action, I will remain bullish on the EURUSD.
AUDUSD - Daily Timeframe
AUDUSD has not yet reached the major resistance zone I have in mind. However, pending the time, I will aim for a clear break of structure (BoS) in the 1Hour timeframe to consolidate my bearish sentiment. The confluences for this trade are;
- Resistance trendline
- Rally-base-drop supply zone
- The bearish array of the moving averages
- 200-Day moving average resistance
GBPUSD - Daily Timeframe
GBPUSD is trading within a rising wedge and has recently seen a clear rejection from the rally-base-rally demand zone and the moving average support. The moving average array also looks clearly bullish, and the 100-Day moving average provided ample support to confirm bullish sentiment.
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