US Interest Rate Slowdown?

US Interest Rate Slowdown?

2022-02-28 • Updated

The US Federal Reserve may refrain from more aggressive interest rate hikes in March due to geopolitical risks after Russia's special operation in Ukraine.

Fed officials, who would still like to begin the process of cutting easy monetary policies caused by COVID-19, say they are monitoring every impact of the conflict on the US economic activity. Since the pandemic started, the central bank has kept its interest rate near zero, so now high inflation in the US has implied that the Fed is likely to normalize it quicker. Earlier in August, St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard declared that he would support a double rate hike (0.50%) for the next Fed meeting in mid-March. In fact, the Fed has not raised interest rates by more than 0.25% since 2000.

However, economists say the progressing situation in Ukraine brings plenty of doubts in a global recovery the same as the coronavirus issue. Disruptions in Russian oil and gas supplies are pushing up energy prices, and Ukraine's struggling economy is already impacting outcomes and growth across the continent.

In addition, the US Dollar Index can be impacted in any case, whether it’s a coronavirus issue or Ukrainian conflict. The US Dollar Index (USDX) is a measure of the US dollar value against a basket of currencies from most of the US's most important trading partners.

Since November 2021 this index has been fluctuating a lot, the lowest level was 94,540, the highest was 97,465. Most likely, it will continue to move up and down.

Now the resistance level is on 97.750, the support is on 96.500.

2022-02-28_16-09-59.png

Influencing announcements

Some releases influence US Index and USD a lot, which can provoke unexpected fluctuations. There are several of them:

  • Fed Chair Powell statement on March 2-3
  • Unemployment rate and NFP releases on March 4
  • Monthly CPI on March 10
  • Monthly PPI on March 15

 

Still, the inflation rate in the US is 7.5%, which is the highest in 40 years. If the Fed slows down the interest rate rise, it can lead to consequences which are difficult to correct.  

 

Similar

Crypto Market Bottom Forecast
Crypto Market Bottom Forecast

The lower Bitcoin goes, the more we hear about its end. Rumors about the death of the crypto market have been here for ten years and won’t end in the future.

Bulls Are Coming Back
Bulls Are Coming Back

The US dollar index rose to 105.40 after the Fed’s 75-basis-point key rate hike, while the stock and the crypto markets fell. However, during the past few days, investors and traders returned to risk assets as they expect inflation growth to slow. Moreover, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, announced the Fed might start cutting the key rate by 2024, which is the most evident hint of an upcoming market reversal.

What to Trade on June 20-24?
What to Trade on June 20-24?

Last week was shocking!  The US dollar gained more than 2% against other currencies ahead of the 75-basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday but dropped after the announcement…

Latest news

What to Trade on July 4-8
What to Trade on July 4-8

Last week was bearish for risky assets such as stocks, oil, gas, and crypto. Will the upcoming week change the situation across the markets? Let’s look at it in detail!

When Will the US Stocks Bear Market Bottom?
When Will the US Stocks Bear Market Bottom?

US stocks have delivered their worst first half of a year in more than 50 years triggered by the Fed's attempt to control inflation and growing concerns about recession.

The Dollar's Strength or Other Currencies' Weakness?
The Dollar's Strength or Other Currencies' Weakness?

The value of the US dollar continues to rise, but is this because of the strength of the dollar itself or just the weakness of the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound? Since the beginning of the year, the US dollar index has been up 8…

Deposit with your local payment systems

Be on top of your game

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera