Powell wants a soft landing for inflation, as Greenspan did in 1994. But it looks like he will get a hard landing.
US100 and S&P500: Trade Ideas
2021-07-20 • Updated
S&P500 Daily chart
S&P500 has shown its weakness during the last two weeks and the historical data says the correction is not over yet. Ever since the market had crashed in 2020, we have seen several S&P500 corrections with one thing in common. During every correction, the price has been touching at least the 50-day moving average. This one would not be an exception. With the bearish divergence on a daily chart, the price will drop down to 4250 first. If this price breaks this support level, it will head towards 4200.
US100 Daily chart
US100 4H Chart
Nasdaq (US100) had been also falling during the last week. During last year during every correction, the price had been reaching 100-day moving average. With the bearish divergence on a daily chart, the price will aim towards the range between 13700 and 14000.
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The US dollar index rose to 105.40 after the Fed’s 75-basis-point key rate hike, while the stock and the crypto markets fell. However, during the past few days, investors and traders returned to risk assets as they expect inflation growth to slow. Moreover, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, announced the Fed might start cutting the key rate by 2024, which is the most evident hint of an upcoming market reversal.