After completing a substantial 4-week bullish rally, the US Dollar closed last week with a big bearish candle, which has led to a 2.63% decline in US Dollar prices. The million-Dollar question on traders' and investors' minds: is this the start of a US Dollar dump or just a correction?
USD/BRL: wait for the opportunity
2019-12-09 • Updated
SELL 7.1250; TP 4.0910; SL 4.1355
USD/BRL has started the week with a substantial move to the downside. The pair formed a lower high last week, thus the price action strongly resembles the “Head and Shoulders” pattern. The daily close below 4.1655 will confirm the bearish scenario. At the same time, selling at the current levels seems premature as there’s support in the form of the 50-day MA (4.1355) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October-November advance (4.1275). A new wave of selling will occur if the pair falls below the latter. The target in this case will be at 4.0910 (61.8% Fibo). Before there’s a breakout, the price may consolidate above the mentioned support for some time. A return above 4.21 is needed to return powers to bulls.
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