Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
USD/CAD: bulls saw a red rag
2019-11-11 • Updated
Recommendation: BUY 1,277 SL 1,2715 TP1 1,287 TP2 1,294.
On the daily chart, bulls are trying to develop their advantage and conquer resistance at 1.2737-1.2765. If they succeed, the odds of correction towards 1.2925-1.2939 will increase. To resume the downtrend, bears need to lead the pair outside of the bullish trend channel and then overcome support at 1.2650.
On H1, USD/CAD formed the “Dragon” pattern. A successful test of resistance at 1.2770 will strengthen the risks of a pullback to 1.2870 and 1.2940.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.