Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
USD/CAD: bulls showed weakness
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 1.263 TP2 1.256 TP3 1.2
On the daily chart of USD/CAD, the inability of bulls to break above resistance at 1.2920 pointed at their weakness. If the pair leaves the uptrend channel, this will increase the odds of a “Butterfly” pattern with a target at 127.2%.
On H1, USD/CAD formed a “Shakeout-Fakeout” pattern. Currently, the pair is retesting resistance at 1.2815. If it fails and falls below support at 1.2730, bears will be able to count on the triggering of the “Shark”.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?