China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
USD/CAD: Canadian positive data vs US negative data
2020-07-10 • Updated
The Canadian employment change has been released at the same time with the US PPI. The best opportunity of this week for traders!
- 952 900 Canadians have been hired during June. Analysts expected that only 700 000 people would find jobs. This data gave a good sign that the Canadian labor market is gradually recovering. In comparison, the previous report showed that 289 600 people were employed during May. However, the Canadian unemployment rate came worse than expected: 12.3%, that was more by 0.3% than the forecast.
- Two types of Producer Price Indexes (PPI) were released: the Core PPI and the PPI. The Core PPI shows the change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. Unlike it, the PPI includes food and energy. Both of them turned out worse than analysts anticipated. The results you can see below.
Actual Forecast Previous
Core PPI -0.3% 0.1 -0.1%
PPI -0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
How to trade USD/CAD?
Opportunities like this come along quite rarely. The Canadian dollar got two tailwinds at the same time. As a result, USD/CAD started moving down. Based on fundamental factors we can assume that the pair should go down further. It has already broken through two moving averages, but there is one left – the 50-period moving average at 1.3570. If the price crosses it, it may plummet to the next support level at 1.3525, which it has touched several times already. The move below this level will push the price to the low of June 9 at 1.3375. Resistance levels are at 1.3610 and 1.3685.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
Welcome to October, the tenth month of 2023. For this installment of What to Trade, I have handpicked a few of my favorite trade ideas for the month. Let’s go over a few of them.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.