Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
USD/CAD looks vulnerable
2020-07-31 • Updated
If the market gets confirmation that Canadian economy is doing better than the US one, which had a very bad Q2, USD/CAD will suffer. The pair is already trading within a downtrend. June lows have provided support near 1.3315, but the resistance line from the March highs is limiting the upside around 1.3460.
On the H4, support is located at 1.3400 (50-period MA). A decline below this level will open the way down to 1.3355.
Trade idea for USD/CAD
SELL 1.3395; TP 1.3355; SL 1.3415
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Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.