ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-12 • Updated
Trade idea
BUY 1.3230; TP 1.3275; SL 1.3215
BUY 1.3205; TP 1.3275; SL 1.3180
USD/CAD firstly formed a bullish “engulfing” candlestick on the W1 and then confirmed the upside by the following strong bullish candlestick. On the daily chart it managed to form a higher low and overcome important resistance levels of the 100- and 50-day MAs (1.3195 and 1.3205). These lines will from now on act as support for the price. Yesterday the pair closed above 61.8% Fibo retracement of the October decline at 1.3228. As a result, there’s scope for the exchange rate to go up to the 1.3275/80 area (200-day MA, 78.6% Fibo). On H4, indicators show divergence, so the pair may go lower before heading to the upside targets. Look for buy signals between 1.3230 and 1.3205. The decline below 1.3190 will open the way down to 1.3160.
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
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