Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
USD/CAD: outlook for March 20-24
2019-11-11 • Updated
USD/CAD slumped to 1.3280 after the FOMC meeting. The decline was short-lived, however. Towards the end of the week, the greenback revived its bullish momentum and rose to 1.3330.
Next week we will be waiting for a number of economic releases: retail sales and inflation figures from Canada, existing home sales and current account data from the US. Canadian annual budget release might become an additional market trigger. Another focus will be on the Fed Chair Janet Yellen and FOMC officials’ speeches scheduled for Thursday and Friday respectively.
At the present moment, USD/CAD is trading tightly near the 100-day MA (around 1.3300 level) consolidating after Wednesday’s impressive decline. A further support can be found at 1.3280 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud). If it is broken the quote will slide further towards 1.3215 (200-H4 MA), or 1.3115. A break of resistances at 1.3385/1.3420 will be a signal of the restoration of the uptrend.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?
Are you aware of the recent crackdown by the SEC on major cryptocurrency exchanges, Binance US and Coinbase? Surprisingly, savvy Bitcoin traders seem unfazed, as options-based implied volatility metrics indicate. It appears that the lawsuits were anticipated and already factored into the market. Implied volatility reflects investors' expectations of price turbulence, but little evidence of heightened concern exists.
Let's dive into the recent debt ceiling saga in the US and its implications for the economy, deficit, and inflation. The good news is that a new debt deal is on the horizon, saving us from a potential default on June 5. Phew! This deal will impact the economy by providing stability and avoiding a financial catastrophe.
Get ready for some suspense as the Bank of Canada faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates or keep them on hold. The resilient Canadian economy and the goal of curbing inflation further are at the heart of this dilemma. While some money markets and economists predict another rate hike, others believe the central bank should exercise caution and wait, hinting at a possible increase later in the summer.