Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
USD/CAD: sellers lost the initiative
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 1.3225 TP2 1.3125 TP3 1.3025
On the daily chart, bears tried to form “Three Indians”, 1-2-3 and “Bat” with 88.6% target but failed to bring USD/CAD to an important support at 1.2925. Buyers got the initiative. If they manage to bring the pair out of the downtrend channel, the risks of bullish trend resumption will increase.
On H1, USD/CAD may form a “Broadening wedge”. A pullback from the lower border of the uptrend channel in the area of potential point 4 will be a signal for short positions.
As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.