The views here are solely based on Technical Analysis techniques using my personal Smart Money approach. Hence, it is important to understand that the trading of CFDs comes at a risk; if not properly managed, you may lose all of your trading capital. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
USD/CAD: shakeout-fakeout pattern has been realized
2019-11-11 • Updated
On the USD/CAD chart, a successful attack on the diagonal support in the form of the lower border of the upward trading channel activated the Gartley pattern with a target 78.6%. The convergence zone is located near 1.31. The nearest important resistance can be found at 1.3305.
On the USD/CAD hourly chart, the "Shakeout-fakeout" pattern has been realized. Quotes fell below the lower boundary of the "Splash and ledge" pattern on the basis of 1-2-3. This tells us about the weakness of the bears and allows us to bet on the realization of the Gartley pattern.
Recommendation: SELL 1,328 SL 1,3335 TP 1,31.
Even though we've only witnessed sluggish movements from the Dollar over the past few weeks, the general idea and bias still seem intact and untampered. The bullish impulse however can be seen as "searching for support".
As I earlier indicated in my article this week, I am expecting an upward push from the Dollar as a reaction from the Demand zone I have marked out. The PPI release earlier moved prices a bit but lacked sufficient momentum to cause a significant break of structure - and thus, no change of trend.
For those who may be unfamiliar with Price Action trading, the horizontal arrows represent areas where the market structure was broken. As you can see in the scenario above, price broke below the previous low at the two marked instances
Let's start off with a look at the Daily timeframe on Bitcoin. We currently see price reacting to the rally-base-rally demand zone between the 15,600 - 14,300 price area. Price also seems to have found support off the trendline support as marked in the image above. Interestingly, this means the overall bias on BTCUSD is Bullish.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are virtual national money. The idea of creating such currencies came to the authorities after the success of cryptocurrencies, which also exist only in digital form.