Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
USD/CHF may decline
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 1.0065; TP 0.9960; SL 1.0085
The USD had been a safe haven when it comes to the US-Sino trade war. However, the situation has changed: now investors worry that trade conflict will hurt the American economy more than expected and thus increase their bets for the Federal Reserve’s rate cut this year. As the CHF is considered as a stronger kind of safe haven, we propose a USD/CHF short trade.
The pair fell below the 50-day MA (1.0070) and the line connecting January and March lows. If it goes below the 100-day MA (1.0024), the target will lie at 0.9955 (200-day MA, 50-week MA, and the line connecting 2018 and 2019 lows).
Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are...
Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected...
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.