USD/CAD has made an immense move to the downside on Tuesday falling by about 200 pips.
USD/CNY is driven by trade uncertainty
BUY 6.9220; TP1 6.9570; TP2 6.9795; SL 6.90
SELL 6.8860; TP 6.8615; SL 6.8940
USD/CNY retraced 78.6% of the 2018-2019 decline. The US dollar strengthened versus the Chinese yuan as the trade deal between the United States and China met unexpected obstacles.
To put it briefly, America increased tariffs on Chinese imports and China decided to retaliate. In addition, China’s industrial production figures and retail sales for April turned out to be worse than expected. This might mean that Beijing may need to roll out more stimulus measures to support its economy. Comments of the US President Donald Trump that trade talks hadn’t collapsed improved the sentiment a bit, but the uncertainty remains. That means that the USD has more bullish potential versus the CNY.
The outlook for USD/CNY will remain bullish as long as it stays above 6.8250 (200-day MA, weekly pivot). On H4, the pair is consolidating within a symmetric triangle. The direction of a break will determine whether the move to the upside continues straight away or we see a correction.
Last week NZD/USD once again met resistance in the 0.6155 area. As you can see from the chart, this area stopped the pair twice before within the recent month.
It’s worth paying attention to AUD/JPY. The pair has approached the resistance line connecting April and May highs.
Has the US dollar lost a top position forever?
We know that hammer formation may be effective in identifying trend reversals. Let's study it a bit closer to see real-life cases.
CAD will get fresh volatility after BOC statement on June 3 at 17:00 MT time.