The views here are solely based on Technical Analysis techniques using my personal Smart Money approach. Hence, it is important to understand that the trading of CFDs comes at a risk; if not properly managed, you may lose all of your trading capital. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
USD/JPY: bulls left the stall
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 115.3 TP2 116.25
On the daily chart, USD/JPY will continue forming the “Shark” pattern with the target at 113%. Rebound of the quotes from the lower border of the upside trend channel with the following formation of the pin bar means that bulls are seizing back the initiative.
On H1, a break above of the neckline of “Head and shoulders” pattern points at unsuccessful retest. This strengthens the risks of the pair’s advance. Its return to resistance at 114.30 with the following increase above this level will allow bulls to continue the rally.
Even though we've only witnessed sluggish movements from the Dollar over the past few weeks, the general idea and bias still seem intact and untampered. The bullish impulse however can be seen as "searching for support".
As I earlier indicated in my article this week, I am expecting an upward push from the Dollar as a reaction from the Demand zone I have marked out. The PPI release earlier moved prices a bit but lacked sufficient momentum to cause a significant break of structure - and thus, no change of trend.
A comparative examination of the strength of the US-Dollar often gives tangible insight into the direction of Gold (XAUUSD). The chart above indicates the expectation of a bullish price reaction from the demand zone
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
For those who may be unfamiliar with Price Action trading, the horizontal arrows represent areas where the market structure was broken. As you can see in the scenario above, price broke below the previous low at the two marked instances