The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
USD/JPY: bulls left the stall
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 115.3 TP2 116.25
On the daily chart, USD/JPY will continue forming the “Shark” pattern with the target at 113%. Rebound of the quotes from the lower border of the upside trend channel with the following formation of the pin bar means that bulls are seizing back the initiative.
On H1, a break above of the neckline of “Head and shoulders” pattern points at unsuccessful retest. This strengthens the risks of the pair’s advance. Its return to resistance at 114.30 with the following increase above this level will allow bulls to continue the rally.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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