On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
USD/JPY: bulls will make a stop
2019-11-11 • Updated
- BUY 112.85, SL 112.30, TP 114.00
- BUY 111.85, SL 111.3, TP 114.00.
On the daily USD/JPY chart, the pair ran into the convergence area of 114-114.55 (23.8% of the long-term bullish wave – 61.8% of the descending medium-term wave). This together with the realization of the interim target of 78.6% of the inverted "Shark" pattern creates the potential for the short-term correction.
On H1, USD/JPY wasn't able to overcome resistance at 113.93 (78.6% of the last descending wave) that points at the weakness of bulls. The pair may now return to support at 112.85 and 111.85.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
The most prominent technical factor that jumped at me as soon as I saw the chart though was the wedge I marked above.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?