USD/JPY: is the USD rally so strong?

USD/JPY: is the USD rally so strong?

2019-11-11 • Updated

Eased geopolitical and trade tensions led to the rise of the US dollar and the decline of the Japanese yen. On April 18 the US dollar managed to recover versus the Japanese yen and USD/JPY started its upward movement. The pair had already reached highs of the middle of February. Will the greenback continue to appreciate against the yen or the positive period for the USD will come to the end soon? Let’s look at the forecasts of the well-known financial institutions.

Short-term trade

UOB (a Singaporean United Overseas Bank).

The UOB predicts a further short-term rise to 109.30. If USD/JPY hits 109.30, it will signal a continuation of an upward movement to 110. Although the bank stays to its positive forecast, it does not exclude a possibility of a pullback to 107.80 that will indicate a downward movement.

Barclays (a British multinational investment bank and financial services company)

Analysts of Barclays see geopolitical and trade tensions as a key factor of the pair’s movement. According to the forecast, in the short-term USD/JPY will be boosted by a risk recovery. But they do not expect a bullish trend to continue for a long time. The North-South Korea summit (April 27) will influence the situation in the market.

Middle-term trade

J.P. Morgan (a global financial services firm and one of the largest banking institutions in the US) 

According to J.P. Morgan, the US dollar remains under pressure because of political and trade uncertainties. Any escalation of conflicts will lead to the greenback’s decline. Another important factor for USD is a monetary policy. While the US dollar is late in its tightening cycle and the Japanese yen is very early in it, so in the middle-term JPY has a higher potential for the upside than the greenback.

Danske Bank (the biggest commercial Danish bank)

The bank predicts 110-115 levels in 6-12 months that will be supported by continued solid global growth outlook and Fed-BOJ divergence.

Based on the above, we can say that in the short-term, traders can rely on the upward movement of the USD/JPY pair. However, the middle-term trade may differ. If geopolitical and trade-related issues get worse, the dollar will weaken. At the same time, solid economic growth may support the greenback.

 

Similar

Oil Market Outlook
Oil Market Outlook

Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.

China’s rebound and energy prices
China’s rebound and energy prices

China's economy is rocketing. On the other hand OPEC+ countries take the decision to cut the production. What will be the impact on the oil price?

What Can Drive Oil below $90 a Barrel?
What Can Drive Oil below $90 a Barrel?

The past two years have seen the biggest swings in oil prices in 14 years, which have baffled markets, investors, and traders due to geopolitical tensions and the shift towards clean energy.

Latest news

Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!
Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!

Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.

What to Trade in June
What to Trade in June

Hey guys, this is the last full trading week in May, and many forward-looking individuals like myself are already preparing themselves to seize whatever opportunities June may have in store. On this note, I will review a few commodities that have satisfied my quest for swing-trading opportunities in the coming month. Follow me!

Will GBP Recover Now?
Will GBP Recover Now?

The Bank of England (BoE) has dramatically shifted its economic forecasts. They no longer expect a recession in the UK and have upgraded their growth projections. This year, the BoE predicts GDP growth of +0.25%, a significant improvement from previous expectations. Next year's forecast is even more optimistic, with a projected growth of 0.75%.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Feel the Team Spirit

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera