USD/JPY: on the way to September lows

USD/JPY: on the way to September lows

2020-10-22 • Updated

USD/JPY now trades between 104.80 and 105.00. Further below, there are only September lows. The closest one is 104.5 – if the currency pair reaches there, that would be half-way to the bottom of the large downward channel. 104.00 would be the true support to look for – that’s where USD/JPY would likely stop and reverse to start crossing the channel upwards.


On the weekly chart, the market channel is in fact entering the zone of pre-virus lows. 104.00 would be a door into this lower layer, 102.00 would be the February-March lows. It’s pretty early to make preparation for the latter, but keep it in mind though: USD/JPY is now getting as low as ever in 2020.


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Worst Awaits Risk Assets in September
Worst Awaits Risk Assets in September

The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.

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