On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
USD/JPY: sharks are around the yen
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 113.90 TP2 115.40
On the daily chart, USD/JPY retraced 50% of the wave CD in line with the transformation of the “Shark” into 5-0. Another test of resistance at 113 in case of success will increase the odds of the rally’s continuation towards 113% target of the senior “Shark”.
On H1, the junior “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. To develop correction to the short-term downtrend with its following break bulls need to conquer resistance at 112.80-113 and at 113.25.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
The most prominent technical factor that jumped at me as soon as I saw the chart though was the wedge I marked above.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.