The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
USD/JPY: yen can strengthen
2019-11-11 • Updated
TP1 107.4 TP2 106.75 TP3 106.05
On the daily chart of USD/JPY, the “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. After a correction to 50% of the wave CD, an advance above May high will open the way up to the pair. On the other hand, a break of diagonal support (the lower border of the uptrend channel) and the triggering of the “Bat” pattern will increase the odds of it reaching 88.6% target.
On H1, a decline below support at 108.40 will trigger a “Head and Shoulders” pattern and AB=CD will allow bears to develop their attack.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
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